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Red12
34145.8
3139.2
26732.2
Blue1
37064.3
36056.3
11897.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210406080100120121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
313
#8
9.20.2
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1189
#30
7.00.9
6.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3414
#31
5.80.2
6.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3605
#24
6.30.9
9.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2673
#27
2.20.2
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3706
#39
4.31.5
4.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End