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Red36
30022.3
34019.2
152822.8
Blue2
28016.8
34145.8
8189.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262501020304050362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.5
18.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
280
#17
16.81.2
13.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3401
#13
9.20.5
4.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
818
#20
9.01.2
7.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3002
#35
2.30.5
2.83.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
3414
#31
5.81.2
5.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End