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Red8
22241.3
30966.9
365611.8
Blue47
36028.4
26732.2
125022.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17330406080100120847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#15
11.80.6
11.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
22.10.8
20.421.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3096
#22
6.90.6
7.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3602
#29
8.40.8
8.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2224
#25
1.30.6
0.70.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2673
#27
2.20.8
1.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End