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Red33
35930.1
20227.0
6925.3
Blue27
130610.4
121827.9
42185.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424702060803327

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#32
30.10.5
29.228.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1218
#12
27.91.0
28.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2022
#64
7.00.5
7.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1306
#86
10.41.0
11.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
692
#46
5.30.5
5.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4218
#62
5.71.0
6.75.7
Auto
Teleop
End