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Red38
40823.1
297413.4
204620.1
Blue39
348114.1
396819.8
23959.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333401020405060703839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#42
20.10.3
17.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3968
#84
19.80.3
17.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2974
#20
13.40.3
10.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
14.10.3
8.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4082
#15
3.10.3
4.24.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
2395
#31
9.10.3
7.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End