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Red32
14588.4
19523.2
40823.1
Blue12
16425.6
285111.4
42067.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32250204060803212

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#7
23.20.0
21.921.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
2851
#52
11.40.6
12.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1458
#35
8.40.0
6.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4206
#75
7.00.6
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4082
#15
3.10.0
4.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1642
#88
5.60.6
6.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End