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Red15
44035.5
40019.6
14588.4
Blue9
7513.0
101410.6
34567.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23300406080159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#63
9.60.5
11.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
75
#95
13.01.1
12.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1458
#35
8.40.4
6.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1014
#19
10.61.3
9.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4403
#58
5.50.5
4.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3456
#99
7.71.2
7.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End