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Red18
1289.3
347614.2
159217.7
Blue15
5878.4
24714.5
42185.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442901020405060701815

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#60
17.71.3
18.717.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
247
#98
14.50.7
14.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3476
#87
14.21.3
15.814.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
587
#26
8.40.7
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
128
#55
9.31.3
9.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4218
#62
5.70.7
6.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End