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Red10
31870.2
16334.7
284010.0
Blue22
84222.6
35173.4
6985.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101505202530351022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.00.0
5.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
842
#2
22.60.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1633
#47
4.70.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
698
#31
5.20.6
2.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3187
#28
0.20.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3517
#18
3.40.6
2.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End