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Red6
41264.0
414610.7
31330.2
Blue13
41837.0
12905.3
30192.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9140520253035613

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#46
10.70.3
3.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
4183
#14
7.00.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4126
#20
4.00.3
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1290
#37
5.30.0
3.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3133
#36
0.20.3
3.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3019
#48
2.20.0
4.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End