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Red28
9966.6
40181.8
284010.0
Blue12
35771.6
16334.7
10132.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115015202530352812

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.01.5
6.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1633
#47
4.70.7
1.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
996
#11
6.61.5
2.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1013
#45
2.40.7
1.32.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4018
#44
1.81.5
1.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3577
#49
1.60.7
0.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End