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Red0
9966.6
23755.9
49812.0
Blue11
26626.4
31870.2
41837.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1413010203040011

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
12.01.1
6.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
4183
#14
7.00.1
6.16.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
996
#11
6.61.1
4.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
6.40.1
4.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2375
#32
5.91.1
2.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
3187
#28
0.20.1
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End