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Red2
41026.9
24499.6
41111.2
Blue12
24037.3
172612.2
6985.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2022010304050212

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.61.4
9.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1726
#16
12.20.5
12.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4102
#15
6.91.4
8.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2403
#12
7.30.5
7.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4111
#22
1.21.4
2.61.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
698
#31
5.20.8
2.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End