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Red4
31870.2
35771.6
41026.9
Blue30
42027.8
26576.7
414610.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917020304050430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4102
#15
6.90.4
6.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4146
#46
10.70.9
4.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3577
#49
1.60.3
1.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
4202
#13
7.80.9
7.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3187
#28
0.20.3
0.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
2657
#27
6.70.9
4.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End