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Red35
15710.9
264810.3
328012.1
Blue6
20790.5
886.6
32364.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012020406080100356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3280
Unranked
12.10.3
10.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
88
Unranked
6.60.3
7.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
Unranked
10.90.3
9.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3236
Unranked
4.00.3
6.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2648
Unranked
10.30.3
8.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
2079
Unranked
0.50.3
-1.6-1.8
Auto
Teleop
End