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Red6
19013.3
236.5
27914.9
Blue11
20790.5
19914.5
107310.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2614020406080100120611

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
13.31.0
11.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1073
Unranked
10.80.1
10.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23
Unranked
6.51.0
6.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1991
Unranked
4.50.1
5.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2791
Unranked
4.91.0
7.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
2079
Unranked
0.50.1
-1.8-2.0
Auto
Teleop
End