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Red39
2289.6
23012.9
30447.4
Blue16
16604.1
264810.3
110011.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28281520253035403916

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
12.90.6
12.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1100
Unranked
11.40.6
12.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
9.60.6
9.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2648
Unranked
10.30.6
10.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3044
Unranked
7.40.6
5.86.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1660
Unranked
4.10.6
5.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End