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Red9
39930.4
36772.9
171722.9
Blue8
11483.7
18364.9
37523.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1680510202530354098

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.7
12.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
1836
#35
4.90.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3677
#23
2.90.7
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3752
#61
3.90.1
3.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3993
#48
0.40.7
1.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1148
#28
3.70.1
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End