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Red21
41011.9
29412.9
17595.3
Blue0
18364.9
16923.2
2076.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1310020304050210

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#3
12.90.7
7.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
207
#49
6.40.9
5.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1759
#30
5.30.7
2.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1836
#35
4.90.6
2.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4101
#60
1.91.4
1.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1692
#41
3.20.9
2.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End