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Red10
41011.9
5971.5
34085.5
Blue20
37590.7
29412.9
41404.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions912051520251020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3408
#43
5.50.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
294
#3
12.90.7
8.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4101
#60
1.90.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4140
#40
4.30.7
2.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
597
#51
1.50.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3759
#62
0.70.7
0.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End