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Red47
6875.5
98720.6
33017.3
Blue15
41233.9
25764.4
40293.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3710020304050604715

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
20.60.6
17.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
2576
#58
4.40.4
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
330
#7
17.30.6
16.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
4123
#24
3.90.4
3.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
687
#27
5.50.6
4.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4029
#26
3.20.4
2.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End