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Red77
35013.7
166221.1
97322.7
Blue50
397010.7
16228.0
167116.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4434010203040506070807750

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#21
22.70.5
21.722.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1671
#19
16.90.3
16.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.10.5
20.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
10.70.3
10.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3501
#40
3.70.5
2.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1622
#31
8.00.3
7.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End