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Red8
37942.7
35124.7
359811.6
Blue26
15168.2
39347.1
119714.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1823010304050826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#20
11.60.6
9.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1197
#15
14.10.2
12.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3512
#36
4.70.6
7.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1516
#17
8.20.2
6.46.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3794
#44
2.70.8
0.90.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3934
#26
7.10.2
3.94.1
Auto
Teleop
End