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Red49
132314.5
2957.2
9808.8
Blue18
32968.0
138812.4
397010.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2131010405060704918

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.51.4
10.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1388
#23
12.40.6
12.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
980
#32
8.81.4
7.08.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
10.70.6
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
295
#8
7.21.4
4.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3296
#38
8.00.9
8.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End