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Red86
21028.9
33024.7
171733.4
Blue58
64912.9
325621.0
359811.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634420801008658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
32.132.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
3256
#13
21.00.2
20.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
330
#2
24.70.4
23.423.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
649
#6
12.90.2
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2102
#43
8.90.4
7.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3598
#20
11.60.2
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End