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Qual 102012 CalGames
Red11
26433.4
28132.9
14589.0
Blue6
7517.7
30134.9
25610.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1824010304050607080116

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
Unranked
9.00.4
9.1→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
256
Unranked
10.20.9
9.8→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2643
Unranked
3.40.4
5.7→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
751
Unranked
7.70.9
10.0→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2813
Unranked
2.90.4
3.5→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.0
3013
Unranked
4.90.9
4.1→3.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—