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Red7
28542.3
167114.4
325618.0
Blue23
13518.1
20739.1
84612.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41260206080723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
Unranked
18.01.7
19.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
846
Unranked
12.00.2
11.411.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1671
Unranked
14.41.7
17.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2073
Unranked
9.10.2
9.49.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2854
Unranked
2.31.7
3.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1351
Unranked
8.10.2
5.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End