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Red52
25427.6
25610.2
8524.3
Blue22
7018.7
17009.2
41710.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4216060801005222

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
27.60.5
29.129.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
1700
Unranked
9.20.3
8.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
256
Unranked
10.20.5
9.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
701
Unranked
8.70.3
6.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
852
Unranked
4.30.5
4.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
4171
Unranked
0.60.3
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End