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Qual 262012 CalGames
Red19
41710.6
84612.0
186815.5
Blue9
8407.6
14589.0
7018.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27250406080100120199

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
Unranked
15.50.4
15.3→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.4
1458
Unranked
9.00.8
8.0→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
846
Unranked
12.00.4
10.9→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
701
Unranked
8.70.8
7.1→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4171
Unranked
0.60.4
0.7→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.0
840
Unranked
7.60.8
10.2→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—