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Red23
17009.2
13518.1
6682.9
Blue9
28132.9
10725.6
8524.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1715010304050607080239

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
Unranked
9.20.3
9.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1072
Unranked
5.60.3
6.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1351
Unranked
8.10.3
5.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
852
Unranked
4.30.3
4.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
668
Unranked
2.90.5
2.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2813
Unranked
2.90.3
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End