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Red50
84612.0
64913.1
6682.9
Blue17
7666.9
41596.5
28132.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22160103040506070805017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
Unranked
13.11.4
11.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
766
Unranked
6.90.1
6.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
846
Unranked
12.01.4
9.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
4159
Unranked
6.50.1
6.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
668
Unranked
2.92.2
0.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2813
Unranked
2.90.1
2.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End