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Red16
115816.9
36480.7
13481.6
Blue17
22405.8
42932.2
12454.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1660102030401617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.0
12.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
2240
#21
5.81.0
1.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
#38
1.60.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1245
#17
4.91.0
0.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3648
#45
0.70.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4293
#39
2.21.5
2.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End