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Red22
115816.9
17992.7
37296.2
Blue24
13033.3
22405.8
23526.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199030402224

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.1
12.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
2352
#11
6.81.3
3.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.20.2
2.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2240
#21
5.81.3
2.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
#47
2.70.2
3.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1303
#31
3.31.3
2.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End