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Red34
43887.7
22405.8
115816.9
Blue12
14109.3
19777.2
34033.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2315010203040503412

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.6
14.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
9.30.3
9.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4388
#13
7.70.9
3.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
7.20.3
3.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2240
#21
5.80.9
4.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3403
#37
3.90.3
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End