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Red6
13394.3
22594.7
20363.7
Blue19
37296.2
11576.2
38073.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121105152025303540619

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2259
#28
4.70.5
4.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
6.20.6
5.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1339
#32
4.30.5
3.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
6.20.6
3.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2036
#25
3.70.5
3.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3807
#29
3.00.6
2.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End