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Red9
40682.4
22752.7
15842.8
Blue53
39922.0
43874.3
31726.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1030020405060953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1584
#22
2.80.0
3.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.1
399
#2
22.01.1
22.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2275
#40
2.70.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
3172
#20
6.41.9
5.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4068
#34
2.40.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4387
#41
4.31.9
2.14.0
Auto
Teleop
End