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Red24
15842.8
32006.6
299614.4
Blue30
115816.9
34033.9
22752.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24210103040502430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.0
14.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
16.90.4
16.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3200
#16
6.60.0
6.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3403
#37
3.90.6
2.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1584
#22
2.80.0
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2275
#40
2.70.7
1.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End