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Red14
13773.6
43887.7
17992.7
Blue3
4431.7
42932.2
11576.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1410052025303540143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#13
7.70.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
6.20.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1377
#23
3.60.0
3.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4293
#39
2.20.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
#47
2.70.0
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
443
#43
1.70.5
2.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End