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Red61
209.3
19521.5
18111.7
Blue9
17611.2
107311.5
9510.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3634102030405060619

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
21.50.4
19.419.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
11.50.4
11.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
#12
11.70.4
9.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
176
#13
11.20.4
11.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
20
#39
9.30.4
7.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
95
#24
10.40.4
10.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End