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Red6
31042.5
35256.3
40556.0
Blue43
31827.3
12615.0
19229.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924020304050643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#55
6.30.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
126
#15
15.01.0
12.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4055
#22
6.00.3
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1922
#23
9.71.1
4.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3104
#56Sur
2.50.3
3.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
3182
#40Sur
7.31.0
7.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End