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Red20
23710.0
17402.3
18111.7
Blue4
40556.0
17842.2
41225.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1410020406080204

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#12
11.70.4
3.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
4055
#22
6.03.7
5.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
#5
10.00.4
7.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4122
#16
5.90.4
4.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1740
#45
2.30.5
3.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1784
#64
2.20.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End