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Red40
55817.5
10274.8
301710.2
Blue12
18111.7
2366.3
27854.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29160102040504012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#10
17.50.5
15.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
181
#12
11.70.2
6.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3017
#29
10.20.5
10.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
236
#33
6.30.4
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1027
#38
4.80.5
4.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2785
#62
4.30.4
2.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End