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Red18
22913.7
17611.2
37186.9
Blue2
34613.3
86910.2
27854.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2914010204050607080182

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#41
13.70.6
14.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
869
#17
10.20.6
8.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#13
11.20.8
12.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2785
#62
4.31.1
3.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3718
#20
6.91.1
3.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
3461
#21
3.31.1
3.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End