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Red44
16659.7
23013.4
34649.5
Blue17
31827.3
69413.2
301710.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731010204050604417

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#28
13.40.8
11.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
694
#9
13.20.7
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1665
#42
9.71.3
8.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3017
#29
10.20.7
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3464
#18
9.51.3
7.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3182
#40
7.30.7
8.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End