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Red30
31042.5
206719.4
10274.8
Blue52
40556.0
22814.6
69413.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2629010204050603052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#30
19.40.2
18.418.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
228
#43
14.61.2
12.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1027
#38
4.80.2
5.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
694
#9
13.21.2
11.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3104
#56
2.50.3
2.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4055
#22
6.01.7
5.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End