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Red34
28368.7
41225.9
5714.4
Blue14
1557.4
41342.5
301710.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210103040503414

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2836
#53
8.71.3
7.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3017
#29
10.20.4
10.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4122
#16
5.90.9
5.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
155
#32
7.40.6
8.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
571
#48
4.41.3
2.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4134
#58
2.50.6
2.82.2
Auto
Teleop
End