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Red9
19940.7
198214.9
328410.6
Blue22
17235.5
177512.2
17851.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2216010304050922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
Unranked
14.90.8
12.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1775
Unranked
12.20.4
8.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3284
Unranked
10.60.7
8.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1723
Unranked
5.50.3
6.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1994
Unranked
0.70.8
2.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1785
Unranked
1.50.3
0.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End