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Red5
31727.7
14442.2
177512.2
Blue22
23465.8
180610.5
9317.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182201030405060522

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
Unranked
12.20.8
9.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1806
Unranked
10.50.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3172
Unranked
7.70.8
5.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
931
Unranked
7.30.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1444
Unranked
2.20.7
3.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2346
Unranked
5.80.0
5.25.2
Auto
Teleop
End