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Red56
198633.1
18473.2
180213.5
Blue18
198410.4
39286.9
19940.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4020060805618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
33.10.8
27.428.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
1984
Unranked
10.40.1
10.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1802
Unranked
13.50.8
9.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
3928
Unranked
6.90.1
7.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1847
Unranked
3.21.0
3.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1994
Unranked
0.70.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End