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Red34
93520.5
17647.1
11086.1
Blue44
17235.5
328410.6
109411.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332301020304050603444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
Unranked
20.50.0
20.320.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1094
Unranked
11.31.0
8.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1764
Unranked
7.10.0
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3284
Unranked
10.61.0
9.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1108
Unranked
6.10.0
5.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1723
Unranked
5.51.0
5.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End